CMC Markets专栏:黄金短期回撤空间在哪里?

以前的文章中写过黄金作为避险之用在当前经济形势下是很好的投资产品，技术形态上也有支持黄金上涨的明显趋势，本月黄金由低位1061附近一路上涨至昨日最好接近1129近70美元的涨势。整体上看，黄金涨势犹在，但可能暂时会出现回调。结合国际形势来看，美联储今日议息内容中表虽然经济前景不为乐观，但加息仍会继续，这也是美元再度走强的一个暗示。那么黄金以美元来计价很可能也会由此出现回撤。
 
技术图形上看，黄金日线图与月线图中同时在1128附近出现潜在阻力信号，有望就此回撤，回撤的潜在目标受看1112附近，然后是1105与1092。

黄金日线图中显示，自去年12月7日底部1051至足日高位1129附近的涨势有类似5浪上涨的形态， 如今5浪已尽，在保利加通道上轨遇阻有望下行。下行的潜在目标有可能是在保利加通道中轨附近的1092左右。但可能会先试探1112（161.8%）与1105（138.0%）的两个潜在的支持位置。

另外， 月线图中也显示出潜在的阻力信号， 这里是黄金分割延展线的50.0%回荡线的位置 ，此处回调后才会积攒动能进一步上破阻力位置上行。

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。